Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.158063 0.188978 0.223785 0.265793 0.315034 0.370836 0.438779
2025-03-23 0.114372 0.154327 0.204440 0.271557 0.358697 0.467561 0.613378
2025-03-30 0.089969 0.132986 0.191473 0.276056 0.394342 0.552827 0.779963
2025-04-06 0.071670 0.114451 0.176706 0.272684 0.415385 0.617812 0.924240
2025-04-13 0.058622 0.100266 0.164611 0.269519 0.434007 0.679070 1.067770
2025-04-20 0.051263 0.093176 0.161444 0.278328 0.470225 0.768452 1.260741
2025-04-27 0.048232 0.092480 0.167957 0.302792 0.533134 0.904302 1.538217
2025-05-04 0.043544 0.087941 0.167130 0.314493 0.575970 1.012042 1.781157
2025-05-11 0.037365 0.079493 0.158055 0.310289 0.590701 1.074367 1.954621
2025-05-18 0.031258 0.070030 0.145591 0.297958 0.589065 1.107897 2.081284
2025-05-25 0.025950 0.061180 0.132870 0.283156 0.580645 1.127873 2.184933
2025-06-01 0.023648 0.058281 0.131439 0.290017 0.613595 1.225051 2.435798
2025-06-08 0.019813 0.051431 0.121195 0.278390 0.610564 1.257958 2.576671
2025-06-15 0.017963 0.048852 0.119711 0.284968 0.645145 1.366450 2.872618
2025-06-22 0.016218 0.046173 0.117558 0.289718 0.676355 1.471215 3.171030
2025-06-29 0.014185 0.042336 0.112096 0.286194 0.689264 1.540169 3.404091
2025-07-06 0.012452 0.038924 0.107070 0.282884 0.702074 1.609861 3.644725
2025-07-13 0.011578 0.037708 0.107280 0.292098 0.744246 1.745437 4.035083
2025-07-20 0.011532 0.038881 0.113783 0.317681 0.827314 1.976807 4.649540
2025-07-27 0.010872 0.038082 0.114960 0.329915 0.879911 2.145630 5.142067
2025-08-03 0.009625 0.035195 0.110004 0.325521 0.891495 2.223311 5.439568
2025-08-10 0.008242 0.031548 0.102295 0.312627 0.880269 2.247435 5.618167
2025-08-17 0.006970 0.027958 0.094106 0.297147 0.860423 2.249185 5.745031